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Department of Defense

NAWCAD Long Range Acquisition Forecast (LRAF) – FY26

Solicitation: NAWCAD-PAX-LRAF-FY26
Notice ID: c519915161b74c9b98ecb8affaf22d77

Special Notice from DEPT OF THE NAVY • DEPT OF DEFENSE. Place of performance: MD. Industry: NAICS 541330 • PSC R425.

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Solicitation context: NAWCAD-PAX-LRAF-FY26. Requirements vary by acquisition and contract type; COTS-only exceptions may apply.

Market snapshot

Awarded-market signal for NAICS 541330 (last 12 months), benchmarked to sector 54.

12-month awarded value
$4,352,755,552
Sector total $5,796,394,058,230 • Share 0.1%
Live
Median
$500,000
P10–P90
$19,847$28,600,000
Volatility
Volatile200%
Market composition
NAICS share of sector
A simple concentration signal, not a forecast.
0.1%
share
Momentum (last 3 vs prior 3 buckets)
+27945%($4,321,824,856)
Deal sizing
$500,000 median
Use as a pricing centerline.
Live signal is computed from awarded notices already observed in the system.
Signals shown are descriptive of observed awards; not a forecast.

Related hubs & trends

Navigate the lattice: hubs for browsing, trends for pricing signals.

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Description

The Naval Air Warfare Center Aircraft Division (NAWCAD) Patuxent River (Pax) announces the FY26 Long Range Acquisition Forecast (LRAF) for NAWCAD Pax requirements.  Updates will be made via this notice on a quarterly basis.

1QTR FY26 LRAF Attached. <<...>>

This Special Notice is for informational purposes only and shall not be considered as an invitation for bid, request for quotation, request for proposal, or as an obligation on the part of the Government to acquire any products or services.  Information provided on the LRAF is subject to change.

Files

Files size/type shown when available.

BidPulsar Analysis

A practical, capture-style breakdown of fit, requirements, risks, and next steps.

Analysis is being generated for this notice. Check back shortly.

FAQ

How do I use the Market Snapshot?

It summarizes awarded-contract behavior for the opportunity’s NAICS and sector, including a recent pricing band (P10–P90), momentum, and composition. Use it as context, not a guarantee.

Is the data live?

The signal updates as new awarded notices enter the system. Always validate the official award and solicitation details on SAM.gov.

What do P10 and P90 mean?

P10 is the 10th percentile award size and P90 is the 90th percentile. Together they describe the typical spread of award values.